Friday, March 31, 2006

Revised Knesset elections count

All the votes are in and some seats have been shuffled around. The new tally, apparently, is as follows:
Kadima- 29
Labor- 20
Shas- 12
Likud- 12
Yisrael Beiteinu- 11
NU/NRP- 9
Gil- 7
Meretz- 5
UTJ- 6
Balad- 3
Hadash 3-
Ra'am Ta'al- 3
For those of you who (like me) flunked Math, that means that between Kadima, Labor, Meretz and Gil, there's already a slim majority (61). Obviously Olmert will want to shore that up with Beiteinu or the haredi parties, but at the very least, it does indicate the bottom-line foundational support he will have in the upcoming Knesset, particularly if he can pay off the haredim to keep them on board (add to this that Shas is already desperate to be in govt., and that if Olmert can convince Rav Yosef that he "really, really tried" to talk to the Palestinians, he'll probably give his blessing for unilateral withrdalws), and placate the Israeli Arabs to support a vote. With the beginning 61, plus the Arab parties, plus Shas & UTJ, Olmert's got 88 seats- comfortably within the 2/3rds majority of the Knesset that became such an issue with the last withdrawl, and that's assuming there are no defectors on the right (such as Lieberman, or individual opportunistic/realistic/pragmatic MKs in Likud or the NRP).

All in all, a rather promising start. Let's see what Olmert does with it.

P.S. In the interests of bashing both sides with at least a semblance of equity, here is an example of left-leaning Israeli stupidity. The author seems to indicate a microscopic level of political accuity, joined with healthy doses of myopia and undeserved self-congratulation. When I have time, I might rip it to pieces in the oh-so-satisfying manner of bygone WorldNetDaily or Arutz Sheva editorials. I'm going to be fairly occupied this weekend, but we'll see.

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